Top 25 – Week 17

  1. Kansas (+2) – Don’t think there’s really a whole lot to explain here – the Jayhawks went on the road and took down the #1 team in the country in a thrilling, high-level game, and now rank #1 on just about every major computer metric. They’re the best team in the country.
  2. Baylor (-1) – Baylor is now the clear #2 team in the country in my eyes – had Gonzaga won at BYU, I still would have put the Bears in this position. That’s how well-executed the game on Saturday against Kansas was. Any fan of college basketball should hope we get at least one more rematch of the top 2 teams.
  3. Gonzaga (-1) – Though the Bulldogs lost, I find it hard to ding them very much – I’m not sure that even Kansas would’ve won in Provo on Saturday night. That atmosphere is why I’ll always love college basketball more than the NBA, despite the lower quality of play and questionable officiating. Don’t be fooled – BYU is legit and Gonzaga is still an elite team.
  4. Dayton (+3) – How awesome is it that Dayton is about to be a pretty much consensus Top 5 team? This team is just incredibly fun to watch and weathers every storm it encounters – which seems to happen on a near-nightly basis since they are every opponent’s Super Bowl. This week they handled a difficult road test at a desperate VCU team and survived a challenge from Duquesne at home, two wins that don’t have a ton of name branding but are very much quality wins.
  5. San Diego State (-1) – Yes, the Aztecs lost at home to a now 15-14 UNLV team, but I just can’t ding them too much for finally losing – there’s a reason it’s been over 40 years since a college team has gone unbeaten. Not to mention, San Diego State is one of just 3 teams (along with Kansas and Duke) to rank in the top 10 for both AdjO and AdjD on KenPom. I can’t wait to see the Twitter trolls get proven wrong in the NCAA Tournament.
  6. Florida State (+3) – Productive week for the Seminoles, who easily avenged a season-opening loss to Pitt, then went on the road and took down a feisty and very hungry NC State team fresh off a destruction of Duke. I am really looking forward to seeing which one of Florida State, Louisville, and Duke stands above the rest in the ACC Tournament, cause right now, I’m not quite sure which team is the best.
  7. Maryland (-2) – Maryland’s 9 game win streak finally game to an end on Sunday when they fell on the road to the Buckeyes, but the Terps still remain the best team in the best conference, which has to count for something. It’s definitely a bummer that Anthony Cowan fouled out on a technical foul – I was looking forward to seeing if his late game heroics could lead Maryland to another come from behind road win.
  8. Kentucky (+3) – Don’t look now, but Coach Cal has this team rolling – the road loss to Auburn is their only blemish in their past 11 games, and their only other conference loss came on a buzzer beater at South Carolina. That loss to Evansville seems like a distant memory, and while the computer metrics don’t love this Kentucky team, I absolutely love the way they’re playing and the tenacity brought by Immanuel Quickley and Nick Richards.
  9. Duke (-3) – Duke is a very good team, but all season, I just haven’t quite felt as if they’re truly elite. Wednesday’s defeat to NC State demonstrates why I feel that way, despite metrics (and a really strong resume) suggesting they’re near the top of the charts – this team can be dominant when clicking, but for all the talent they possess, it feels as if they’re more prone to an absolute stinker of a performance than any other team in the Top 10.
  10. Creighton (+4) – Creighton is quite possibly the hottest team in college basketball right now with 9 wins in their last 10, and they’ve taken down some juggernauts on the way, with road wins at Villanova and Seton Hall, and after this week, Marquette, plus Sunday’s blowout of a good Butler team. The Tyshon Alexander/Marcus Zegarowski/Mitchell Ballock trio is simply a joy to watch and I really think this team is headed towards a very deep run in the tournament.
  11. Seton Hall (+1) – After an 0-2 week, the Pirates bounced back in a really strong way, with Sandro Mamukelashvili’s buzzer beater leading them over Butler and a convincing win over St. John’s wrapping up the week. The Pirates get a much-needed break until a road trip to Marquette on Saturday where they’ll try to stay on pace for a Big East title, but Creighton remains on their tail and continue to light their opponents up.
  12. Louisville (+1) – Not a whole to say about Louisville other than that they bounced big in a needed way – after losing to two bad teams on the road, two bad teams came into the KFC Yum! Center (that exclamation point is critical, folks) and left with double digit losses. Monday’s road trip to Tallahassee will determine if this is a top 10 team or not.
  13. Oregon (-3) – The Ducks fell on the road in Tempe to a scorching hot and surging Arizona State team, and I’ve got the Sun Devils ranked now, so I can’t drop the Ducks too far for that, especially given the way they came out and stole a win on the road at Arizona late Saturday night. Payton Pritchard continued to make a case for 1st Team All-American with a masterful 38 point performance in a brutally tough road environment.
  14. Villanova (+2) – Villanova held serve on the road this week, extending their winning streak to 4 games after 3 consecutive losses to Creighton, Butler, and Seton Hall. I’m not convinced that they’re quite at the level of Creighton and Seton Hall yet, given that half of this winning streak includes Temple and DePaul, but they’re definitely in the right direction.
  15. BYU (+8) – BYU is definitely my biggest winner in the rankings this week – the metrics have loved them for a while, but I somewhat begrudgingly ranked them at #23 last week despite a narrow road win over San Diego. But now, there’s no way to argue that BYU is not one of the top 25 teams in the country after a massive home win against Gonzaga, and I really believe they’re one of the 15 best teams.
  16. Penn State (-8) – After Penn State ripped off an 8 game winning streak I was perfectly content to launch them up into the top 10, but after the last week, I feel like I may have jumped the gun a bit. A home loss to Illinois and road loss to Indiana certainly aren’t the end of the world by any means; I just think that I needed to recalibrate my view of Penn State a little bit.
  17. Iowa (+5) – Iowa took their only game of the week and made the most of it, boatracing Ohio State in the opening minutes and controlling the game from then on to snag a 9 point victory over a top 25 team. With an impressive win, along with some losses by teams I had previously ranked above the Hawkeyes, Iowa is another big mover.
  18. Auburn (-3) – The Tigers somehow pulled another rabbit out of their hat on Saturday with a massive come from behind victory over Tennessee, but the mid-week loss to Georgia is a bit of a concern for me. Yes, Isaac Okoro was out, so I don’t want to penalize the Tigers too harshly, but at no point this season have I ever felt as if Georgia was close to a good team, and the Tigers have been awfully lucky a lot this season.
  19. Houston (–) – The Cougars fell over the weekend, but a one point road loss to a talented team desperate for a big win to get back in the bubble conversation is hardly shameful. Plus, just a few days earlier they blasted Tulsa by 33 points, so that balances out their past week pretty nicely.
  20. Colorado (–) – The Buffaloes did take a home loss over the weekend to the same team that previously lost to Cal State Fullerton and Hofstra, but really, UCLA is a completely different team from that time. They’re on a red hot streak, so I can’t penalize Colorado too much, especially when others near them in the rankings lost either worse games, are on more prolonged skids of inconsistency, or lost multiple times this past week.
  21. West Virginia (-3) – Compared to Houston and Colorado, it may be a bit more harsh to penalize the Mountaineers for an OT road loss to a conference foe, but my bigger concern is how BAD this team is on the road – in Big 12 play, West Virginia is now 1-6 on the road, with the lone win coming at Oklahoma State. They’re a great team at home, but I really would like to see some better road performances.
  22. Michigan State (+2) – Quiet week for the Spartans, who blasted Nebraska on the road by 21 points on Thursday night and move up thanks to some Big East carnage. We’ll get a better gauge of where the Spartans are at now with Iowa coming to town on Tuesday night and a road trip lined up to College Park on Saturday night.
  23. Arizona State (NEW) – Earlier this season, I didn’t think the Sun Devils were even remotely close to the bubble picture, let alone the top 25 picture, but they are up there with Creighton and Kentucky in the mix for hottest team in the country. Now the leader in the Pac 12 standings, the Sun Devils took down Oregon this week and held serve at home in a narrow win over Oregon State. With 7 straight wins, I’ve gotta give a tip of the cap to Arizona State this week.
  24. Butler (-3) – The days of Butler being a top 5 team seem long forgotten, but I can assure you they happened this very season. Butler is absolutely headed in the wrong direction with 4 losses in their past 5 games, but I’m not completely giving up on them yet. While they ended up getting boatraced by Creighton on Sunday, Kamar Baldwin leaving the game is definitely a major loss that had to have played a part, though I don’t think his injury was even close to being the reason for the blowout. Also, it’s pretty hard to knock a team too much for losing on the road to a top 15 team on a buzzer beater inbounds play with 0.6 seconds left – that’s just tough.
  25. Ohio State (–) – Ohio State came back to the rankings this week after a long break marked by maddeningly inconsistent play, then promptly got beaten pretty handily by Iowa. They bounced back in a huge way though on Sunday, knocking off top 10 Maryland, so I have no problem keeping them where they’re at for the time being.

Dropped Out: Marquette (was 17)

Next 5: Marquette, Arizona, Illinois, Michigan, Virginia

Bracketology – 2/23

Based on results through games played on 2/22. Asterisk indicates auto-bid, number in parentheses indicates increase/decrease since last update on 2/18.

NOTE: As a reminder, this is based on an algorithm – that said, I have made one correction to match historical precedent, which is that no team that is .500 or worse has ever been awarded an at-large bid. My algorithm would place Purdue as the 2nd last team in the field, which would bump Oklahoma to the first team out, but seeing that Purdue is 14-14, I have not included them in the field and they are not listed in the First/Next 4 Out, either. At this point, I don’t think .500 teams are worthy of being considered, but obviously, if Purdue can get to above .500, they are very much in the mix of bubble consideration.

1 seeds
Kansas* (–)
Baylor (–)
Gonzaga* (+1)
Duke (–)
2 seeds
San Diego State* (-1)
Maryland* (–)
Dayton* (–)
Villanova (+2)
3 seeds
Florida State (–)
Creighton (–)
Louisville* (+1)
Seton Hall* (–)
4 seeds
Penn State (-2)
Oregon (–)
Kentucky* (+2)
Michigan (+3)
5 seeds
West Virginia (-1)
Auburn (-2)
Michigan State (–)
Colorado (–)
6 seeds
Iowa (–)
BYU (+1)
Butler (–)
Arizona (–)
7 seeds
Houston* (–)
Ohio State (-2)
Marquette (-2)
LSU (–)
8 seeds
Wisconsin (–)
Texas Tech (–)
Saint Mary’s (–)
Illinois (+2)
9 seeds
Wichita State (-1)
Florida (+1)
Virginia (+2)
Arizona State* (+3)
10 seeds
Indiana (+2)
Rhode Island (-1)
Rutgers (-1)
Xavier (-1)
11 seeds
Utah State (–)
East Tennessee State* (–)
USC (–)
Cincinnati (-1) / NC State (NEW) (Last 4 In)
12 seeds
Providence (NEW) / Oklahoma (-3) (Last 4 In)
Northern Iowa* (–)
Liberty* (NEW)
Yale* (–)
13 seeds
Akron* (NEW)
Vermont* (-1)
Stephen F. Austin* (–)
North Texas* (–)
14 seeds
Belmont* (NEW)
New Mexico State* (-1)
Hofstra* (–)
Colgate* (-1)
15 seeds
UC Irvine* (-1)
Wright State* (-1)
South Dakota State* (-1)
Little Rock* (–)
16 seeds
Montana* (–)
Radford* (NEW)
Prairie View A&M* (–) / Saint Peter’s* (–)
Robert Morris* (–) / North Carolina A&T* (NEW)

First 4 Out
Richmond
Arkansas
Alabama
Stanford
Next 4 Out
Mississippi State
Georgetown
Memphis
UNC Greensboro

Dropped Out:
Purdue (was 10)
Georgetown (was 11)
Bowling Green (was 15)
Murray State (was 15)
Winthrop (was 15)
North Florida (was 16)
Norfolk State (was 16)

Bracketology Busters – 2/18

Based on results through games played on 2/17. Asterisk indicates auto-bid, number in parentheses indicates increase/decrease since last update on 2/9.

1 seeds
Kansas (–)
Baylor* (–)
San Diego State* (–)
Duke* (+1)
2 seeds
Gonzaga* (-1)
Maryland* (–)
Dayton* (–)
Penn State (+2)
3 seeds
Seton Hall* (-1)
Florida State (–)
Creighton (+3)
Auburn (–)
4 seeds
Villanova (–)
Louisville (-1)
Oregon* (+1)
West Virginia (-1)
5 seeds
Colorado (-1)
Marquette (+1)
Ohio State (+1)
Michigan State (–)
6 seeds
Butler (-2)
Kentucky* (-1)
Arizona (+1)
Iowa (-1)
7 seeds
Houston* (–)
Michigan (–)
BYU (–)
LSU (-1)
8 seeds
Wisconsin (+1)
Texas Tech (–)
Wichita State (+1)
Saint Mary’s (+1)
9 seeds
Xavier (+1)
Rutgers (–)
Rhode Island (-1)
Oklahoma (+1)
10 seeds
Florida (+2)
Cincinnati (–)
Illinois (-2)
Purdue (-2)
11 seeds
Virginia (+1)
East Tennessee State* (–)
Utah State (NEW)
Georgetown (NEW)/USC (+1) (Last 4 In)
12 seeds
Northern Iowa* (-2)
Arizona State (NEW)/Indiana (NEW) (Last 4 In)
Yale* (–)
Vermont* (+1)
13 seeds
North Texas* (–)
Stephen F. Austin* (–)
New Mexico State* (–)
Colgate* (+1)
14 seeds
Wright State* (–)
Hofstra* (–)
UC Irvine* (+2)
South Dakota State* (NEW)
15 seeds
Bowling Green* (–)
Murray State* (–)
Little Rock* (–)
Winthrop* (-1)
16 seeds
Montana* (–)
North Florida* (NEW)
Prairie View A&M* (–)/Saint Peter’s* (NEW)
Robert Morris* (–)/Norfolk State* (NEW)

First 4 Out
Richmond
Minnesota
Mississippi State
Alabama
Next 4 Out
Arkansas
NC State
UNC Greensboro
VCU
In the Hunt
Memphis
Providence
Tennessee
South Carolina
Stanford

Dropped Out:
Arkansas (was 11)
VCU (was 11)
Minnesota (was 11)
Mississippi State (was 12)
Liberty (was 12)
North Dakota State (was 15)
Monmouth (was 16)
North Carolina A&T (was 16)

Top 25 – Week 16

Let’s try to make sense of yet another nutty week of college hoops.

  1. Baylor (+1) – Last week I flip-flopped Gonzaga into my top spot after they nuked Saint Mary’s on the road, and this week I’m going back to Baylor in my top spot. With all due respect to Pepperdine, Gonzaga’s 12 point road win was not as impressive of a week as Baylor’s 7 point road win at Texas and most importantly, a convincing double digit win over a ranked West Virginia squad over the weekend.
  2. Gonzaga (-1) – Like I said above, Gonzaga did their job and continued to win, but I treat my poll as a combination of a resume ranking and a power ranking of “who’s hot” right now, and that’s why I’ve flipped the last couple weeks. Baylor and Gonzaga are both really good teams who are playing great basketball and each one has a serious argument for the #1 ranking, which is why recently, for me, it’s come down to whichever team has had the better week.
  3. Kansas (–) – Kansas also had a really good week and for me has closed the gap on the top two. The mid-week road win at West Virginia was a phenomenal win in a place that Kansas hasn’t traditionally had a ton of success at, and they defended their home court really well against Oklahoma over the weekend. They’re a clear #1 on KenPom and they’ll jump up and be my #1 team if they can win at Baylor this weekend.
  4. San Diego State (–) – Ho hum, two more dominant wins over decent teams as far as the MWC goes. The Aztecs cruised early in the week against New Mexico, then easily conquered Boise State on the road in what may have been one of their last two real chances to lose the rest of the way. The regular season at Nevada will still be a test, but the Aztecs could very easily run the table at this point.
  5. Maryland (+2) – In my opinion, the top 4 have easily separated themselves from the field as a Tier 1, but Maryland and Duke can definitely make a case as being part of a Tier 1A. The gutsy road win at Michigan State over the weekend solidified that for me, and eliminated any concerns from a surprisingly and concerningly close victory over Nebraska mid-week.
  6. Duke (+3) – After somewhat of an unimpressive week with narrow road wins at bad UNC and Boston College squads, the Blue Devils bounced back in a huge way and brought me back into believing in them. Aside from a trouncing of a decent Notre Dame team over the weekend, they handled a very tough test from an extremely talented Florida State team last Monday. Every game left for the Blue Devils is very winnable and this team has a chance, however small, to fight its way to the edge of the 1 seed discussion should crazy things happen out west and in the Big 12.
  7. Dayton (-2) – Dayton continues to do well and rack up wins, but this is where being a part of the A10 is a mixed blessing. Being far and away the best in the conference has allowed them to steadily climb, but it also doesn’t present many opportunities to impress and has far more opportunities to disappoint. I actually was quite impressed by Dayton’s performance in their Tuesday win over a Rhode Island team I had ranked, but wasn’t pretty disappointed by their performance in Saturday’s win at a 10-15 UMass team. Plus, a home win over Rhode Island just doesn’t compare to a road win at Michigan State or a home win over Florida State.
  8. Penn State (+4) – It is the year of our lord 2020 and Penn State is about to be ranked in the top 10 in men’s basketball. The Nittany Lions have established themselves as one of the top two teams in a loaded Big 10 conference and it is simply awesome for that fanbase. Also awesome was their performance on Tuesday night, when they stormed into Mackey and fairly easily took down a Purdue squad that had previously looked unbeatable within the confines of their home arena.
  9. Florida State (+2) – This past week definitely won’t go down in the history books for the Seminoles, as they fell on the road in a narrow loss to Duke then escaped at home against a likely NIT-bound Syracuse team. Still, there’s absolutely nothing to be ashamed about their performance in Cameron Indoor, as that loss is a much better loss than any of the other teams ranked around Florida State suffered this past week.
  10. Oregon (+5) – Great week for the Ducks, who avenged an earlier loss to Colorado with yet another double digit comeback win on Thursday night, then easily handled Utah on Sunday night. With a road trip to the Arizona schools coming up next week, it was key for the Ducks to get back on track.
  11. Kentucky (+2) – Not a super impressive week for the Wildcats, but going 2-0 is far better than a lot of other top 25 teams can say. They managed to win at Vanderbilt which fellow SEC competitor LSU can’t say, then they nearly stumbled over their own feet on Saturday with a pitiful three-point shooting performance, but they pulled out a narrow win over a weak Ole Miss squad. I can’t say I have a ton of faith in Kentucky (especially with a 30th ranking in AdjEM on KenPom) but I do love the clutch performances I’ve seen from Immanuel Quickley and Nick Richards.
  12. Seton Hall (-4) – Definitely a baffling week from Seton Hall, who went 0-2 with a loss at home to a legit Creighton team and a road loss to a puzzling Providence program. The Pirates have now lost 3 out of 5, but in that stretch they’ve managed to win at Villanova, so I don’t think anyone should have their hands on the panic button just yet, especially with a pair of home games coming this week.
  13. Louisville (-7) – Louisville, uh….what the fuck? I was all set to put Louisville right there with Maryland and Duke as my Tier 1A teams, then they went and put up two baffling performances, with bad road losses to Georgia Tech and Clemson. Yes, they both came on the road, but neither one of those teams has a snowball’s chance in hell of making the tournament (yes, GT is banned, but the point still stands anyway). Two home games against two teams on the outside of the bubble should hopefully allow the Cardinals to bounce back this week.
  14. Creighton (+6) – Possibly one of the best week’s for the Creighton program this past week, as they forced their way right back into the thick of the Big East battle. They single-handedly did it by storming into South Orange mid-week and took down Seton Hall on the road, then returned to Omaha over the weekend and trounced DePaul while the Pirates fell to Providence, drawing the Bluejays to within just 1 game of the Big East lead. Friendly reminder that just 7 years ago, this was a true mid major in the Missouri Valley Conference.
  15. Auburn (-5) – The Auburn luck machine rolled on into the middle of this past week with another stunning OT win, this one coming at home against Alabama. Finally, the nation’s luckiest team ran out of magic over the weekend with an uninspired road loss to a bad Missouri team (they allowed KenPom’s 147th ranked offense to score 85 on 55% shooting – yikes).
  16. Villanova (+3) – The Wildcats bounced back very nicely from a three game losing streak this past week, as they survived a spirited Marquette comeback effort to win at home on Wednesday, then played one of their best halves of the season with a dominant 2nd half effort to run away from Temple and claim the Big 5 title.
  17. Marquette (–) – For the 2nd straight week, Marquette only played one game and it was against a ranked team. This week, they were unable to come up with a victory as they fell by just one point at Villanova. They dug themselves a big hole in the first half and damn near completed the comeback before Markus Howard failed to replicate the magic of Tre Jones’ intentional FT miss from the previous weekend. With just a 1 point road loss at a top 25 conference foe, I see no reason to demote Marquette down the rankings.
  18. West Virginia (-4) – Not a great week for the Mountaineers by any means, which is kind of an obvious statement when you look at the 0-2 record. And yes, they’re now in a three game losing streak, but the last two losses this past week came at home to a team I have ranked at #3 and on the road to my now-#1 team – there’s really not a whole to be ashamed of there. If the Mountaineers can put a complete game together and avoid the offensive droughts they occasionally go through, they’ve got a very good chance of playing in the 2nd weekend.
  19. Houston (-3) – Houston survived at USF in the middle of the week with a 4 point road win but couldn’t pull out another narrow road victory over the weekend, falling by one point in OT to SMU. While the Cougars do have 3 losses in an average caliber AAC league, those 3 losses have all come by a combined 5 points. This team is still very good.
  20. Colorado (+1) – The Buffaloes skidded back a bit after there Thursday night loss in Eugene, but losing a competitive game against a borderline Top 10 team, in my eyes, is not something that warrants much of a penalty. They rebounded very nicely on Saturday with a 22 point road blowout of an Oregon State team that had previously won in Boulder, which was a big redemption moment for this team. Despite the one loss, I actually am okay moving Colorado up, as I feel like I may have been a bit too low on them previously.
  21. Butler (-3) – Mixed bag of results this week for the Bulldogs, who held steady in Hinkle on Wednesday night against a rising Xavier team, but faltered in surprising fashion over the weekend and lost at home to a severely undermanned Georgetown team. Butler’s defense has really struggled of late, as they have dropped to the 55th ranked AdjD on KenPom after surging up inside the top 10 earlier this season. I might be a little bit too high after their 3rd loss in 5 games, but we’ll let this coming week play out to see if Butler can hang steady with road games at Seton Hall and Creighton.
  22. Iowa (–) – Mixed bag of results also applies to Iowa this week, as their defense faltered in a major way Thursday night in Assembly Hall where Indiana defeated the Hawkeyes 89-77. They rebounded nicely on Sunday, however, to grab a hard fought 3 point road win at Minnesota, which could be the loss that knocks the Golden Gophers out of tournament contention, at least for the time being.
  23. BYU (NEW) – This is the part of the rankings where I kinda struggled to find three teams to fill it out. BYU is a darling in the computers, ranking 19th in KenPom’s AdjEM, but they’ll have confounding efforts like Saturday night, where a final minute go-ahead alley-oop was necessary to defeat San Diego (read: NOT San Diego State). Still though, I do see a lot of talent on this roster and am comfortable moving them into the rankings as other teams continue to drop games.
  24. Michigan State (-1) – Definitely an up and down week for Sparty. After going on a big slide prior to this week, they came out and blitzed Illinois on the road early before the Fighting Illini fought all the way back, only to fall victim to Xavier Tillman’s emphatic game-winning putback in the final seconds. That was a huge win for the Spartans, but they responded by collapsing late (don’t slap the damn floor!) at home against Maryland on Saturday night, which put a damper on what started out to be a promising week. Until I can feel like I can trust the Spartans, I can’t justify ranking them any higher despite all the talent on this roster.
  25. Ohio State (NEW) – I’m officially back on the Buckeyes train, though that may only last as long as Thursday when they head into the Breslin Center for a matchup with Michigan State. Despite inconsistent results in Big Ten play, they have remained very favorable in the eyes of the computers, and are now back up to 9th in KenPom’s AdjEM ratings. They held off a pesky Rutgers team and put a pretty thorough beatdown on Purdue this week and have now won 5 of their last 6, so I think a return to the rankings is warranted.

Dropped Out: Rhode Island (24), Illinois (25)

Next 5: Arizona, Rhode Island, LSU, Rutgers, Virginia

Top 25 – Week 15

  1. Gonzaga (+1) – Pretty simple reason for moving up Gonzaga to #1 in my poll this week – winning by 30 points at Saint Mary’s on Saturday night was a stunning and thoroughly impressive victory. I really believed the Gaels were gonna give a strong effort and keep it close, but Gonzaga just dismantled them.
  2. Baylor (-1) – I still think Baylor may have the best resume in the country (Kansas right there behind them), but a 6 point road win and an 8 point home win against the two worst teams in the Big 12 just doesn’t match up with Gonzaga throttling a tournament team on the road. Baylor will have plenty of opportunities to reclaim the #1 spot in my poll but right now I’m more impressed with the Bulldogs.
  3. Kansas (–) – Pretty straightforward week for the Jayhawks, with two wins in games that they were expected to win. Neither Texas nor TCU appears to be a tournament team right now, so winning both games was a job well done when it comes to not looking past inferior opponents ahead of the big Wednesday night matchup in Morgantown.
  4. San Diego State (–) – Ho hum, another undefeated week for the Aztecs. This team, they only faced one challenger in Air Force, who actually put up a very strong effort and was within just 3 points with 6:41 to go. San Diego State’s defense took over from that point as they finished on a 22-10 run and avoided what would’ve been a bad loss. Perhaps the toughest game left for the Aztecs awaits Saturday night in Boise.
  5. Dayton (–) – Dayton escaped with another close victory over Saint Louis, who appears to be the only kryptonite this Flyers team has. Well, that and OT games against elite power conference opponents (looking at you, Kansas and Colorado). A huge week and a half lies ahead with Rhode Island coming to town this week before the Flyers head on the road into the Siegel Center next week.
  6. Louisville (–) – Since losing at home to Florida State to lose 3 of 5 and drop to 11-3 overall, the Cardinals have stormed through the ACC and ripped off a 10 game winning streak. They’re one of the hottest teams in the country, and that was proven over the weekend when even UVA, typically a thorn in Louisville’s side, couldn’t get over the hump and land a road upset. The next 4 games on Louisville’s schedule are all very winnable games, which could be a great lead-in to a top 10/15 matchup with Florida State.
  7. Maryland (+2) – The Mark Turgeon haters have to be beside themselves this week, after Maryland hung on for a gritty, gutsy win at home against Rutgers (still hard to believe that statement actually holds consequence) and then went on the road and took down Illinois to take the outright lead in the Big 10. The Terps on a 6 game win streak that includes 3 road wins and 3 home wins, with all of those home wins coming against likely NCAA Tournament teams.
  8. Seton Hall (+2) – I know it’s a little bold to put a 5 loss team this high, especially with two very good 3-loss ACC teams right behind, but I couldn’t not recognize what the Pirates did this week. They started out taking down a feisty Georgetown team on the road, then traveled up 95 into Philly and took out Villanova on the road for the first team since 1994. Seton Hall is well on its way to capturing the outright Big East regular season title.
  9. Duke (-2) – As tempting as it was, I didn’t drop Duke for having to go to OT against UNC, as no matter how good or bad Duke & UNC are, they will always find a way to make the rivalry games close. Really, I just felt that Maryland and Seton Hall put up better weeks with each posting a huge road victory over Top 25 teams. Duke, on the other hand, also put up 2 road wins, but they came against teams that likely won’t even make the NIT.
  10. Auburn (+1) – Auburn is another team I was impressed with this week. No matter how difficult they make it, the Tigers just always find a way to win. Tuesday night, they came out of Fayetteville with a 3 point OT victory following a frantic regulation comeback, and they repeated that same frantic comeback against LSU on Saturday, before collapsing and surrendering a 7 point OT lead, then capping it all off with a buzzer beater to win. For those counting at home, that’s a road win and a home win against two likely NCAA Tourney teams.
  11. Florida State (-3) – I genuinely feel bad about dropping the Seminoles 3 spots, as it’s really through no fault of their own. They put up 2 solid home wins this week by a combined 24 points, but home wins against UNC and Miami this year just don’t ring the bell for me like the wins that Maryland, Seton Hall, and Auburn had this week. It’s alright though, because with a road trip to Cameron Indoor lined up for Monday night, the Noles will be able to jump right back up into the Top 10 if they can pull off the upset.
  12. Penn State (+8) – I try as hard as I can to stay away from true poll inertia, but the Nittany Lions are definitely a major beneficiary this week with so many teams ahead of them dropping games this week. That said, going into the Breslin Center and pulling off a 5 point road win was a phenomenal win to add to the resume and makes me feel better about launching Penn State way up in my rankings.
  13. Kentucky (+2) – I still don’t really know what to do with Kentucky, but they did post two pretty good wins this week, so I have no problem inching them a bit further up despite the metrics not necessarily reflecting as much. A home win against Mississippi State and a road win at Tennessee aren’t earth shattering victories, but both teams can make a case to be in the bubble conversation, so it was big for Kentucky to avoid any slip-ups and stay in the thick of the SEC title race.
  14. West Virginia (–) – Hard for me to not drop a team due to a loss, but a 10 point road loss to Oklahoma isn’t really that big of a deal, and a lot of teams around the Mountaineers had a worse loss or in some cases, losses, so I’m okay with not dropping them. Looking at the teams I have below them, my only question is who would anyone put above them? I can’t make a convincing argument for any team, so that’s why I’m good with this for now.
  15. Oregon (-2) – Only one game for Oregon this past week and they dropped it to Oregon State on the road. Not a bad loss by any means, but it’s now a 2 game losing streak with a tough game looming with Colorado coming to town. Given that Oregon is 0-2 for the month of February, I’m okay dropping them 2 spots while leaving WVU stationary above.
  16. Houston (+6) – The Cougars are definitely ending up as a beneficiary of some inertia due to mid-ranking carnage this week, but don’t sleep on the performance they had on Sunday, where they completely throttled a solid Wichita State squad by 33 points.
  17. Marquette (+8) – Marquette only had one game on the calendar, and they were clearly ready for it. They whooped Butler by 19 and didn’t even need a dominating performance from Markus Howard to do so. Initially I moved Marquette up to #18 behind Butler, but considering that Marquette took the Bulldogs to OT at Hinkle, I’d be crazy to not give the advantage to the Golden Eagles here.
  18. Butler (+1) – I know Butler got beaten pretty soundly on Sunday at Marquette, but I’m higher on Marquette than the consensus and can’t fault the Bulldogs too much after Kamar Baldwin’s heroics led them to a victory over Villanova earlier in the week. Plus, losing a road game to the team I now have ranked at #17 is much better than going 0-2 (see Michigan State, Villanova, and LSU – all of which I had ranked above Butler).
  19. Villanova (-7) – Tough week for the Wildcats with two losses by a combined 9 points to top 20 teams. Kamar Baldwin ripped the hearts out of Villanova with the step-back buzzer beater on Tuesday night, then a collective effort from Seton Hall led to the Wildcats dropping a home matchup to the Pirates for the first time in over 25 years. This 3 game losing streak is concerning, but I have Creighton/Butler/Seton Hall all ranked within the top 20 so I think they’ll be fine. Marquette comes to town Wednesday night, though, presenting yet another challenge in a loaded Big East.
  20. Creighton (-2) – While I’d accept an argument saying that Creighton is playing better basketball than Villanova, and I recognize that Creighton did just recently beat Villanova on the road, the Wildcats did beat Creighton in Omaha, so I’m comfortable leaving Creighton just behind them. Plus, the Blue Jays lost on the road to Providence this past week, something that Villanova managed to avoid earlier this season. A big Wednesday night showdown at Seton Hall lies ahead for the Blue Jays this week.
  21. Colorado (NEW) – Gonna take the L here and admit for being far too harsh on Colorado for losing to an improving UCLA squad a couple weeks back. They put up a solid week despite a couple close calls, avoiding upset against a rising Cal squad and completing a second half comeback to dispatch Stanford over the weekend. A Pac 12 title is very easily within reach for this bunch.
  22. Iowa (-1) – All things considered, I’d say I’m being pretty generous this week to not drop Iowa any further. Sure, they won at home against Nebraska, but this Hawkeyes team got absolutely curbstomped on the road at Purdue. The Boilermakers clearly have some kind of voodoo magic going on at Mackey Arena, but still, that only explains a normal victory, not a 36 point bloodbath.
  23. Michigan State (-6) – Part of me wanted to unrank the Spartans after an 0-2 week, but I just can’t quit on this team yet. Also, I really couldn’t justify putting some of the teams I have behind them higher. The home loss to Penn State definitely raised some concerns after the Spartans fought back from an early deficit, took the lead, then stumbled home, but I was actually less concerned by a hard fought 9 point loss on the road to a Michigan team that finally returned a healthy Isaiah Livers.
  24. Rhode Island (NEW) – Don’t sleep on the A-10! Dayton is obviously Dayton, VCU is on the rise, and some other teams like Richmond, Duquesne, Saint Louis, and St. Bonaventure are having competitive seasons. But Rhode Island has easily stepped into the clear #2 spot in the conference. After dropping their A-10 opener to Richmond and falling to 8-5, the Rams have roared back to life with a 10 game winning streak that includes a sweep of VCU, a home win against Duquesne, and a road win in Olean, NY against the Bonnies. The road matchup at Dayton on Tuesday will be must-see TV.
  25. Illinois (-1) – Only one game on the calendar this past week for the Fighting Illini and they dropped it – the home game against Maryland on Friday night. While it cost Illinois a chance at claiming the lead in the Big 10 standings, it’s not a catastrophic loss by any means. They do need to find a way to gut out a win soon, though, as they’re on a 2-game losing streak heading into the gauntlet of home vs. Michigan State, @Rutgers, and @Penn State.

Dropped Out: LSU (16), Arizona (23)

Next 5: LSU, BYU, Ohio State, Arizona, Rutgers

Bracketology – 2/9

Based on results through games played on 2/2. Asterisk indicates auto-bid, number in parentheses indicates increase/decrease since last update.

1 seeds
Kansas (–)
Baylor* (–)
Gonzaga* (–)
San Diego State* (–)
2 seeds
Maryland* (+1)
Duke (–)
Seton Hall* (+1)
Dayton* (–)
3 seeds
Auburn* (+1)
Louisville* (-1)
West Virginia (-1)
Florida State (–)
4 seeds
Penn State (+1)
Butler (–)
Villanova (-1)
Colorado* (+1)
5 seeds
Kentucky (+2)
Michigan State (-1)
Oregon (-1)
Iowa (+1)
6 seeds
Creighton (-1)
Ohio State (+1)
Marquette (+1)
LSU (-1)
7 seeds
Arizona (-1)
Houston* (–)
BYU (+1)
Michigan (+1)
8 seeds
Purdue (+3)
Illinois (-2)
Texas Tech (+3)
Rhode Island (-1)
9 seeds
Rutgers (–)
Wichita State (–)
Saint Mary’s (-1)
Wisconsin (-2)
10 seeds
Northern Iowa* (–)
Oklahoma (–)
Cincinnati (+1)
Xavier (NEW) (Last 4 Byes)
11 seeds
Arkansas (-3) (Last 4 Byes)
East Tennessee State* (+1)
VCU (NEW) (Last 4 Byes)
Minnesota (NEW) (Last 4 Byes)
12 seeds
Virginia (–)/USC (-3) (Last 4 In)
Florida (-2)/Mississippi State (-1) (Last 4 In)
Yale* (–)
Liberty* (–)
13 seeds
Vermont* (–)
Stephen F. Austin* (–)
North Texas* (NEW)
New Mexico State* (–)
14 seeds
Colgate* (–)
Winthrop* (–)
Wright State* (–)
Hofstra* (+1)
15 seeds
Little Rock* (–)
North Dakota State* (NEW)
Murray State* (+1)
Bowling Green* (-1)
16 seeds
UC Irvine* (-1)
Montana* (NEW)
Monmouth* (–)/Prairie View A&M* (NEW)
Robert Morris* (–)/North Carolina A&T* (–)

First 4 Out
Indiana
Arizona State
Utah State
Stanford
Next 4 Out
Memphis
Georgetown
Alabama
NC State
In the Hunt
Richmond
Syracuse
Providence
Texas
UNC Greensboro

Dropped Out:
Indiana (was 10)
Stanford (was 11)
Tulsa (was 12)
Louisiana Tech (was 13)
Eastern Washington (was 15)
South Dakota State (was 16)
Texas Southern (was 16)

Bracketology – 2/2

Based on results through games played on 2/1. Asterisk indicates auto-bid, number in parentheses indicates increase/decrease since last update.

1 seeds
Kansas (–)
Baylor* (–)
San Diego State* (–)
Gonzaga* (+1)
2 seeds
Duke (–)
West Virginia (-1)
Dayton* (+1)
Louisville* (+2)
3 seeds
Florida State (-1)
Maryland (–)
Seton Hall* (-1)
Villanova (–)
4 seeds
Butler (–)
Oregon* (-1)
Auburn (–)
Michigan State (–)
5 seeds
Creighton (+1)
Penn State (+1)
LSU* (–)
Colorado (-)
6 seeds
Iowa (-1)
Arizona (+1)
Marquette (+1)
Illinois* (–)
7 seeds
Kentucky (-2)
Ohio State (+1)
Houston (-1)
Wisconsin (+1)
8 seeds
Arkansas (-1)
Saint Mary’s (-1)
Michigan (+3)
BYU (+1)
9 seeds
Wichita State (-1)
Rutgers (-1)
Rhode Island (+2)
USC (–)
10 seeds
Florida (-1)
Northern Iowa* (+1)
Indiana (-1) (Last 4 Byes)
Oklahoma (–) (Last 4 Byes)
11 seeds
Mississippi State (NEW) (Last 4 Byes)
Texas Tech (NEW) (Last 4 Byes)
Stanford (-1)/Purdue (-1) (Last 4 In)
Virginia (+1)/Cincinnati (NEW) (Last 4 In)
12 seeds
East Tennessee State* (-2)
Yale* (–)
Tulsa* (NEW)
Liberty* (+1)
13 seeds
Vermont* (–)
Louisiana Tech* (NEW)
Stephen F. Austin* (–)
New Mexico State* (+1)
14 seeds
Wright State* (–)
Winthrop* (–)
Colgate* (–)
Bowling Green* (NEW)
15 seeds
Hofstra* (NEW)
Little Rock* (–)
UC Irvine* (–)
Eastern Washington* (NEW)
16 seeds
South Dakota State* (NEW)
Murray State* (-1)
Monmouth* (–)/Texas Southern* (NEW)
Robert Morris* (–)/North Carolina A&T* (NEW)

First 4 Out
VCU
Xavier
Memphis
Minnesota
Next 4 Out
Arizona State
Utah State
Alabama
Richmond
In the Hunt
Georgetown
Texas
Syracuse
NC State

Dropped Out:
NC State (was 11)
VCU (was 12)
Minnesota (was 12)
Alabama (was 12)
Akron (was 12)
North Texas (was 13)
William & Mary (was 15)
Montana (was 16)
Prairie View A&M (was 16)
Norfolk State (was 16)