Final Bracketology

Auto-bids are bolded and italicized. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga
Illinois
Baylor
Michigan

2 Seeds
Alabama
Ohio State
Iowa
Texas

3 Seeds
Houston
Oklahoma State
Arkansas
West Virginia

4 Seeds
Kansas
Virginia
Villanova
USC

5 Seeds
Purdue
San Diego State
BYU
Tennessee

6 Seeds
Colorado
Creighton
Florida State
LSU

7 Seeds
Clemson
Missouri
Loyola-Chicago
UNC

8 Seeds
Texas Tech
Oregon
St. Bonaventure
Wisconsin

9 Seeds
UConn
Georgia Tech
Florida
VCU

10 Seeds
Oklahoma
Rutgers
Maryland
Syracuse

11 Seeds
Louisville
Virginia Tech
UCLA/Utah State
Michigan State/Drake

12 Seeds
Georgetown
UC Santa Barbara
Colgate
Winthrop

13 Seeds
North Texas
Oregon State
UNC Greensboro
Ohio

14 Seeds
Abilene Christian
Liberty
Morehead State
Eastern Washington

15 Seeds
Grand Canyon
Cleveland State
Iona
Drexel

16 Seeds
Oral Roberts
Hartford
Norfolk State/Appalachian State
Texas Southern/Mount St. Mary’s

Last 4 Byes
Maryland
Syracuse
Louisville
Virginia Tech

Last 4 In
UCLA
Utah State
Michigan State
Drake

First 4 Out
Boise State
Wichita State
Colorado State
Seton Hall

Next 4 Out
Memphis
Saint Louis
Xavier
Ole Miss

Dropped Out
n/a

Conference Tally
American – 1 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 4 bids
MVC – 2 bids
MWC – 2 bids
Pac 12 – 5 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/14

Happy Selection Sunday! Here’s the penultimate update following a wild night with a couple stolen bids. The final update will be posted after the Big 10 Title game. Not much seeding is on the line but some S-curve positions can move around, as well as the Patriot League auto-bid and the threat of Cincinnati stealing the last at-large bid that I have going to Drake at the moment.

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders/tourney winners. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Illinois (–)
Baylor (–)
Michigan (–)

2 Seeds
Ohio State (–)
Alabama (–)
Iowa (–)
Texas (+1)

3 Seeds
Houston (–)
Oklahoma State (-1)
Arkansas (–)
West Virginia (+1)

4 Seeds
Kansas (-1)
Virginia (–)
Villanova (+1)
USC (–)

5 Seeds
Purdue (–)
San Diego State (+1)
BYU (–)
Tennessee (+1)

6 Seeds
Colorado (-1)
Creighton (-2)
Florida State (–)
LSU (+1)

7 Seeds
Clemson (-1)
Missouri (+1)
Loyola-Chicago (–)
UNC (–)

8 Seeds
Texas Tech (–)
Oregon (-1)
Wisconsin (–)
UConn (–)

9 Seeds
St. Bonaventure (–)
Georgia Tech (+1)
VCU (–)
Florida (–)

10 Seeds
Oklahoma (–)
Rutgers (-1)
Maryland (–)
Syracuse (–)

11 Seeds
Louisville (–)
Virginia Tech (–)
UCLA (–)/Utah State (–)
Michigan State (+1)/Drake (–)

12 Seeds
Georgetown (NEW)
UC Santa Barbara (+1)
Colgate (–)
Winthrop (+1)

13 Seeds
North Texas (NEW)
Oregon State (NEW)
UNC Greensboro (–)
Ohio (NEW)

14 Seeds
Abilene Christian (NEW)
Liberty (–)
Morehead State (–)
Eastern Washington (–)

15 Seeds
Grand Canyon (-1)
Cleveland State (–)
Iona (NEW)
Drexel (–)

16 Seeds
Oral Roberts (-1)
Hartford (–)
Norfolk State (–)/Appalachian State (–)
Texas Southern (NEW)/Mount St. Mary’s (–)

Last 4 Byes
Maryland
Syracuse
Louisville
Virginia Tech

Last 4 In
UCLA
Utah State
Michigan State
Drake

First 4 Out
Boise State
Wichita State
Colorado State
Seton Hall

Next 4 Out
Memphis
Saint Louis
Xavier
Ole Miss

Dropped Out
Wichita State (12)
Memphis (12)
Western Kentucky (12 – C-USA Auto-Bid)
Buffalo (13 – MAC Auto-Bid)
Nicholls State (15 – Southland Auto-Bid)
Prairie View A&M (16 – SWAC Auto-Bid)
Fairfield (16 – MAAC Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 1 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 4 bids
MVC – 2 bids
MWC – 2 bids
Pac 12 – 5 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/13

Notable updates since yesterday:
-Oklahoma State’s late season surge continues as they rise to the final 2 seed with Houston dropping to a 3;
-Texas rises to a 3 with USC dropping to a 4 following their loss along with the leapfrogged UVA;
-Creighton surpasses Purdue to grab the final 4 seed;
-Colorado State drops out following their loss with Memphis the beneficiary as the only bubble team playing, basically.

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Michigan (–)
Baylor (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Oklahoma State (+2)

3 Seeds
Arkansas (–)
Houston (-1)
Texas (+1)
Kansas (–)

4 Seeds
West Virginia (–)
Virginia (-1)
USC (-1)
Creighton (+1)

5 Seeds
BYU (–)
Colorado (–)
Purdue (-1)
Villanova (–)

6 Seeds
Florida State (–)
Tennessee (–)
San Diego State (–)
Clemson (+1)

7 Seeds
LSU (+1)
Oregon (-1)
Loyola-Chicago (–)
UNC (–)

8 Seeds
Missouri (-1)
Wisconsin (–)
Texas Tech (–)
UConn (–)

9 Seeds
St. Bonaventure (–)
VCU (–)
Florida (–)
Rutgers (–)

10 Seeds
Georgia Tech (–)
Oklahoma (–)
Maryland (–)
Syracuse (–)

11 Seeds
Utah State (+1)
Louisville (–)
Virginia Tech (–)
UCLA (–)/Drake (+1)

12 Seeds
Wichita State (-1)
Michigan State (–)/Memphis (NEW)
Colgate (–)
Western Kentucky (+1)

13 Seeds
UC Santa Barbara (–)
Winthrop (-1)
UNC Greensboro (–)
Buffalo (NEW)

14 Seeds
Liberty (–)
Morehead State (–)
Eastern Washington (NEW)
Grand Canyon (–)

15 Seeds
Cleveland State (–)
Drexel (–)
Oral Roberts (–)
Nicholls State (–)

16 Seeds
Prairie View A&M (–)
Hartford (–)
Appalachian State (–)/Norfolk State (NEW)
Mount St. Mary’s (–)/Fairfield (NEW)

Last 4 Byes
Syracuse
Utah State
Louisville
Virginia Tech

Last 4 In
UCLA
Drake
Michigan State
Memphis

First 4 Out
Boise State
Colorado State
Saint Louis
Seton Hall

Next 4 Out
Xavier
SMU
Ole Miss
Saint Mary’s

Dropped Out
Colorado State (12)
Toledo (13 – MAC Auto-Bid)
Southern Utah (14 – Big Sky Auto-Bid)
Saint Peter’s (16 – MAAC Auto-Bid)
Coppin State (16 – MEAC Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 3 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 3 bids
MVC – 2 bids
MWC – 2 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/12

Notable updates since yesterday:
-Kansas and Virginia both move up to the 3 line – Villanova drops to a 5 and West Virginia drops to a 4;
-Oklahoma State moves up to a 4;
-Boise State and SMU drop out of the field with Drake and Utah State sliding in.

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Baylor (–)
Michigan (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Houston (–)

3 Seeds
USC (–)
Arkansas (–)
Kansas (+1)
Virginia (+1)

4 Seeds
Texas (–)
Oklahoma State (+1)
West Virginia (-1)
Purdue (–)

5 Seeds
Villanova (-2)
BYU (–)
Creighton (+1)
Colorado (–)

6 Seeds
Florida State (-1)
Tennessee (–)
San Diego State (–)
Oregon (+1)

7 Seeds
Clemson (-1)
Missouri (–)
Loyola-Chicago (–)
UNC (+1)

8 Seeds
LSU (-1)
UConn (–)
Wisconsin (+1)
Texas Tech (–)

9 Seeds
St. Bonaventure (-1)
Florida (–)
VCU (–)
Rutgers (–)

10 Seeds
Georgia Tech (–)
Maryland (+1)
Oklahoma (–)
Syracuse (+1)

11 Seeds
Louisville (–)
Virginia Tech (-1)
UCLA (-1)
Wichita State (+1)

12 Seeds
Colorado State (–)/Drake (NEW)
Utah State (NEW)/Michigan State (-1)
Colgate (+1)
Winthrop (–)

13 Seeds
UC Santa Barbara (-1)
Western Kentucky (–)
Toledo (–)
UNC Greensboro (–)

14 Seeds
Liberty (–)
Morehead State (–)
Southern Utah (–)
Grand Canyon (–)

15 Seeds
Cleveland State (–)
Drexel (–)
Oral Roberts (–)
Nicholls State (–)

16 Seeds
Hartford (–)
Prairie View A&M (–)
Appalachian State (–)/Mount St. Mary’s (–)
Saint Peter’s (–)/Coppin State (NEW)

Last 4 Byes
Syracuse
Louisville
Virginia Tech
UCLA

Last 4 In
Colorado State
Utah State
Drake
Michigan State

First 4 Out
Seton Hall
SMU
Duke
Boise State

Next 4 Out
Memphis
Saint Louis
Ole Miss
Xavier

Dropped Out
Boise State (11)
SMU (12)
North Carolina A&T (16 – MEAC Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 2 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 3 bids
MVC – 2 bids
MWC – 3 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/11

More substantial update for today – found a formula typo where the weight of resume metrics (SOR, KPI, NET) versus predictive metrics (KenPom, Sagarin, BPI) was not adjusted properly past the 2 seed line (aka past the first 8 rows of my spreadsheet). Some of the notable changes are laid out below:
-USC and Virginia once again swap on the 3/4 seed lines;
-Oklahoma State and Creighton flip on the 5/6 seed lines;
-SMU replaces Memphis and Colorado State replaces Utah State.

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Michigan (–)
Baylor (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Houston (–)

3 Seeds
Villanova (–)
West Virginia (–)
Arkansas (–)
USC (+1)

4 Seeds
Kansas (–)
Purdue (–)
Texas (–)
Virginia (-1)

5 Seeds
BYU (–)
Florida State (–)
Oklahoma State (+1)
Colorado (–)

6 Seeds
San Diego State (–)
Creighton (-1)
Tennessee (–)
Clemson (–)

7 Seeds
Oregon (–)
Loyola-Chicago (–)
Missouri (+2)
LSU (+1)
Texas Tech (–)

8 Seeds
Texas Tech (-1)
UNC (+1)
UConn (–)
St. Bonaventure (–)

9 Seeds
Wisconsin (-2)
Florida (-1)
VCU (+1)
Rutgers (+1)

10 Seeds
Oklahoma (-1)
Georgia Tech (-1)
UCLA (–)
Virginia Tech (–)

11 Seeds
Maryland (–)
Syracuse (–)
Louisville (–)
Boise State (–)/Michigan State (–)

12 Seeds
Wichita State (–)
Colorado State (NEW)/SMU (NEW)
Winthrop (+1)
UC Santa Barbara (–)

13 Seeds
Colgate (–)
Western Kentucky (–)
Toledo (-1)
UNC Greensboro (–)

14 Seeds
Liberty (–)
Morehead State (–)
Southern Utah (–)
Grand Canyon (–)

15 Seeds
Cleveland State (–)
Drexel (–)
Oral Roberts (–)
Nicholls State (+1)

16 Seeds
Prairie View A&M (–)
Hartford (–)
Appalachian State (–)/Mount St. Mary’s (–)
Saint Peter’s (NEW)/North Carolina A&T (–)

Last 4 Byes
Virginia Tech
Maryland
Syracuse
Louisville

Last 4 In
Boise State
Michigan State
Colorado State
SMU

First 4 Out
Duke
Drake
Utah State
Seton Hall

Next 4 Out
Memphis
Saint Louis
Xavier
Ole Miss

Dropped Out
Memphis (12)
Utah State (12)
Siena (15 – MAAC Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 3 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 3 bids
MVC – 1 bids
MWC – 3 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/10

Quick bracket update for the last two nights of auto-bid changes. Nothing changes in the at-large field for Gonzaga or BYU.

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Baylor (–)
Michigan (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Houston (–)

3 Seeds
Villanova (–)
West Virginia (–)
Arkansas (–)
Virginia (–)

4 Seeds
USC (–)
Kansas (–)
Purdue (–)
Texas (–)

5 Seeds
Florida State (–)
Colorado (–)
BYU (–)
Creighton (–)

6 Seeds
Tennessee (–)
San Diego State (–)
Oklahoma State (–)
Clemson (–)

7 Seeds
Loyola-Chicago (–)
Texas Tech (–)
Wisconsin (–)
Oregon (–)

8 Seeds
LSU (–)
UConn (–)
Florida (–)
St. Bonaventure (–)

9 Seeds
UNC (–)
Missouri (–)
Oklahoma (–)
Georgia Tech (–)

10 Seeds
Rutgers (–)
VCU (–)
UCLA (–)
Virginia Tech (–)

11 Seeds
Maryland (–)
Louisville (–)
Syracuse (–)
Boise State (–)/Michigan State (–)

12 Seeds
Memphis (–)/Utah State (–)
Wichita State (–)
Toledo (–)
UC Santa Barbara (–)

13 Seeds
Winthrop (–)
Colgate (–)
Western Kentucky (–)
UNC Greensboro (–)

14 Seeds
Liberty (–)
Morehead State (–)
Southern Utah (+1)
Grand Canyon (+1)

15 Seeds
Drexel (NEW)
Cleveland State (+1)
Oral Roberts (NEW)
Siena (+1)

16 Seeds
Nicholls State (–)
Hartford (–)
Appalachian State (NEW)/Prairie View A&M (–)
Mount St. Mary’s (NEW)/North Carolina A&T (–)

Last 4 Byes
Maryland
Virginia Tech
Louisville
Syracuse

Last 4 In
Boise State
Michigan State
Memphis
Utah State

First 4 Out
SMU
Xavier
Saint Louis
Seton Hall

Next 4 Out
Colorado State
Ole Miss
Drake
St. John’s

Dropped Out
Georgia State (14 – Sun Belt Auto-Bid)
South Dakota State (14 – Sun Belt Auto-Bid)
Northeastern (15 – CAA Auto-Bid)
Bryant (15 – NEC Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 3 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 3 bids
MVC – 1 bids
MWC – 3 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/8

Notable changes since Sunday morning:
-Kansas & UVA swap on the 3/4 lines thanks to changes in rankings of their opponents;
-Texas sneaks past Florida State to the 4 line;

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Baylor (–)
Michigan (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Houston (–)

3 Seeds
Villanova (-1)
West Virginia (–)
Arkansas (–)
Virginia (+1)

4 Seeds
USC (–)
Kansas (-1)
Purdue (–)
Texas (+1)

5 Seeds
Florida State (-1)
Colorado (–)
BYU (–)
Creighton (+1)

6 Seeds
Tennessee (+1)
San Diego State (-1)
Oklahoma State (–)
Clemson (–)

7 Seeds
Loyola-Chicago (+1)
Texas Tech (-1)
Wisconsin (–)
Oregon (–)

8 Seeds
LSU (-1)
UConn (–)
Florida (–)
St. Bonaventure (–)

9 Seeds
UNC (–)
Missouri (–)
Oklahoma (–)
Georgia Tech (+1)

10 Seeds
Rutgers (–)
VCU (–)
UCLA (–)
Virginia Tech (+1)

11 Seeds
Maryland (-2)
Louisville (–)
Syracuse (–)
Boise State (–)/Michigan State (NEW)

12 Seeds
Memphis (-1)/Utah State (NEW)
Wichita State (–)
Toledo (–)
UC Santa Barbara (–)

13 Seeds
Winthrop (–)
Colgate (–)
Western Kentucky (–)
UNC Greensboro (–)

14 Seeds
Liberty (–)
Georgia State (–)
South Dakota State (–)
Morehead State (–)

15 Seeds
Southern Utah (–)
Grand Canyon (–)
Northeastern (NEW)
Bryant (–)

16 Seeds
Cleveland State (-1)
Siena (–)
Nicholls State (–)/Hartford (–)
Prairie View A&M (–)/North Carolina A&T (–)

Last 4 Byes
Maryland
Virginia Tech
Louisville
Syracuse

Last 4 In
Boise State
Michigan State
Memphis
Utah State

First 4 Out
SMU
Xavier
Saint Louis
Seton Hall

Next 4 Out
Colorado State
Ole Miss
Drake
St. John’s

Dropped Out
Saint Louis (12)
SMU (12)
James Madison (16 – CAA Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 3 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 9 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 3 bids
MVC – 1 bids
MWC – 3 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Top 25 Poll – Week 16

Below are my rankings for the Reddit User Poll for Week 16. Explanations are a bit abbreviated due to time. xNote – the rankings in the “Last Week” summary are my own personal rankings, not the Reddit User Poll, Coaches Poll, or AP Poll.

  1. Gonzaga (–)
    • Last Week: No games played
  2. Baylor (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. #5 West Virginia 94-89 in OT, def. #11 Oklahoma State 81-70 and def. #18 Texas Tech 88-73
  3. Illinois (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. #2 Michigan 76-53 and def. #10 Ohio State 73-68
    • Opted to go with the Illini at #3 only after Michigan lost to Michigan State on Monday. The blowout of Michigan with Ayo was wildly impressive but would not have outweighed a full season’s worth of work on its own.
  4. Michigan (-2)
    • Last Week: Lost to #4 Illinois 76-53, def. Michigan State 69-50 and lost to Michigan State 70-64
  5. Houston (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. Memphis 67-64
  6. Iowa (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. Nebraska 102-64 and def. Wisconsin 77-73
  7. Alabama (+5)
    • Last Week: Def. Auburn 70-58 and def. Georgia 89-79
  8. Kansas (–)
    • Last Week: Def. UTEP 67-62
    • The Jayhawks got leapfrogged by Bama thanks to their pretty subpar performance to escape UTEP.
  9. Oklahoma State (+2)
    • Last Week: Def. #17 Oklahoma 79-75, lost to #3 Baylor 81-70, and def. #5 West Virginia 85-80
    • Yes, the Cowboys lost to Baylor, but the other two Top 20 wins were big for my evaluation of them. They get the nod here thanks to the road win at WVU without Cade Cunningham.
  10. West Virginia (-5)
    • Last Week: Lost to #3 Baylor 94-89 in OT, def. TCU 76-67 and lost to #11 Oklahoma State 85-80
  11. Ohio State (-1)
    • Last Week: Lost to #4 Illinois 73-68
    • I really wanted to drop the Buckeyes more for having lost four straight, I really did. But three of those four have come, while at home, to teams I have in the top 6, and two of those three were by just five points. Just can’t see any other team that belongs in this spot at this point, either.
  12. Florida State (-3)
    • Last Week: Def. Boston College 93-64 and lost to Notre Dame 83-73
  13. San Diego State (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. UNLV 71-62
  14. Arkansas (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. South Carolina 101-73 and def. Texas A&M 87-80
  15. Texas (+5)
    • Last Week: Def. Iowa State 81-67, def. #17 Oklahoma 69-65 and def. TCU 76-64
  16. Virginia Tech (+3)
    • Last Week: No games played
  17. Purdue (+4)
    • Last Week: Def. Wisconsin 73-69 and def. Indiana 67-58
  18. Texas Tech (–)
    • Last Week: Def. TCU 69-49, def. Iowa State 81-74 and lost to #3 Baylor 88-73
  19. Creighton (-3)
    • Last Week: Lost to #13 Villanova 72-60 and def. Butler 93-73
  20. Oregon (+5)
    • Last Week: Def. Arizona 80-69, def. UCLA 82-74 and def. Oregon State 80-67
  21. Virginia (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. Miami 62-51 and def. Louisville 68-58
  22. Loyola-Chicago (+1)
    • Last Week: Def. Southern Illinois 73-49, def. Indiana State 65-49, and def. Drake 75-65
  23. UConn (NEW)
    • Last Week: Def. Seton Hall 69-58 and def. Georgetown 98-82
    • 10-2 with Bouknight in the lineup, they are a completely different team when he’s healthy.
  24. Oklahoma (-7)
    • Last Week: Lost to #11 Oklahoma State 79-75 and lost to #20 Texas 69-65
  25. USC (NEW)
    • Last Week: Def. Stanford 79-42 and def. UCLA 64-63

Dropped Out:
Villanova (was 13) – I love my alma mater but without Collin Gillespie for the rest of the season, this is just a different team. They can get back in my rankings with a good Big East Tourney performance but with Justin Moore’s health a major question mark as well, I just don’t see this being a Top 25 caliber team moving forward.
Clemson (was 24)

Next 5: Villanova, Wichita State, BYU, Clemson, Colorado

Bracketology – 3/7

Notable changes since Friday morning:
-Villanova’s loss on Saturday drops them to the 3 line with Houston the beneficiary;
-Kansas returns to the 3 seed line after Florida State drops following the loss to Notre Dame;
-Virginia’s win at Louisville lifts them back to the 4 seed line;
-Memphis returns despite not playing a game as the Big East cannibalizes itself with Seton Hall and Xavier both losing – they are each out and Saint Louis, despite the loss to St. Bonaventure, moves into the field;

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Michigan (–)
Baylor (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Houston (+1)

3 Seeds
Villanova (-1)
West Virginia (–)
Arkansas (–)
Kansas (+1)

4 Seeds
USC (–)
Virginia (+1)
Purdue (–)
Florida State (-1)

5 Seeds
Colorado (–)
BYU (–)
Texas (-1)
San Diego State (–)

6 Seeds
Creighton (–)
Texas Tech (–)
Oklahoma State (+1)
Clemson (–)

7 Seeds
Tennessee (-1)
Wisconsin (–)
LSU (+1)
Oregon (+1)

8 Seeds
Florida (-1)
Loyola-Chicago (–)
UConn (–)
St. Bonaventure (+2)

9 Seeds
UNC (–)
Missouri (-2)
Oklahoma (–)
Maryland (–)

10 Seeds
VCU (+1)
Georgia Tech (–)
Rutgers (–)
UCLA (–)

11 Seeds
Louisville (-2)
Virginia Tech (–)
Syracuse (–)
Boise State (–)/Memphis (NEW)

12 Seeds
Saint Louis (NEW)/SMU (–)
Wichita State (–)
Toledo (–)
UC Santa Barbara (–)

13 Seeds
Colgate (NEW)
Western Kentucky (–)
Winthrop (–)
UNC Greensboro (+1)

14 Seeds
Liberty (-1)
Georgia State (NEW)
South Dakota State (–)
Morehead State (NEW)

15 Seeds
Southern Utah (–)
Grand Canyon (-1)
Bryant (NEW)
Cleveland State (–)

16 Seeds
James Madison (–)
Siena (-1)
Nicholls State (–)/Hartford (NEW)
Prairie View A&M (–)/North Carolina A&T (–)

Last 4 Byes
UCLA
Louisville
Virginia Tech
Syracuse

Last 4 In
Boise State
Saint Louis
Memphis
SMU

First 4 Out
Utah State
Xavier
Seton Hall
Drake

Next 4 Out
Colorado State
Ole Miss
Michigan State
St. John’s

Dropped Out
Xavier (11)
Seton Hall (12)
Belmont (13 – OVC Auto-Bid)
Navy (14 – Patriot League Auto-Bid)
UMBC (15 – America East Auto-Bid)
Texas State (16 – Sun Belt Auto-Bid)
Wagner (16 – NEC Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 4 bids
A10 – 3 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 8 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 3 bids
MVC – 1 bids
MWC – 2 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids

Bracketology – 3/5

Notable changes from Thursday night’s results:
-None of the Last Four In/First Four Out teams were in action, but Seton Hall slips into the field while Memphis drops out due to changes in various NET rankings of their opponents and due to minor rises and falls in surrounding teams in other computer metrics.
-Villanova slips past West Virginia to reclaim the final 2 seed thanks to West Virginia slipping back in the NET a couple spots
-Kansas’ poor performance at home versus UTEP drops them back to the 4 seed line with Florida State the beneficiary
-Texas jumps past Virginia to grab a 4 seed after winning at Oklahoma while Oklahoma slips back to a 9 seed

Auto-bids (bolded & italicized) went to current conference leaders. Went with A, B, C, and D as the region names, A being the best 1 seed and D being the worst 1 seed. Number in parentheses represents change in seed line since the last post.

1 Seeds
Gonzaga (–)
Michigan (–)
Baylor (–)
Illinois (–)

2 Seeds
Alabama (–)
Ohio State (–)
Iowa (–)
Villanova (+1)

3 Seeds
West Virginia (-1)
Houston (–)
Arkansas (–)
Florida State (+1)

4 Seeds
Kansas (-1)
Purdue (–)
USC (–)
Texas (+1)

5 Seeds
Virginia (-1)
Colorado (–)
BYU (–)
San Diego State (–)

6 Seeds
Creighton (–)
Texas Tech (–)
Tennessee (–)
Clemson (–)

7 Seeds
Wisconsin (–)
Oklahoma State (–)
Florida (–)
Missouri (–)

8 Seeds
Oregon (–)
LSU (–)
UConn (–)
Loyola-Chicago (+1)

9 Seeds
UNC (–)
Oklahoma (-1)
Maryland (–)
Louisville (–)

10 Seeds
St. Bonaventure (–)
UCLA (–)
Georgia Tech (–)
Rutgers (–)

11 Seeds
Virginia Tech (–)
VCU (–)
Syracuse (–)
Boise State (+1)/Xavier (–)

12 Seeds
SMU (-1)/Seton Hall (NEW)
Wichita State (–)
UC Santa Barbara (–)
Toledo (+1)

13 Seeds
Western Kentucky (-1)
Winthrop (–)
Belmont (–)
Liberty (–)

14 Seeds
Navy (–)
UNC Greensboro (–)
South Dakota State (–)
Grand Canyon (–)

15 Seeds
Cleveland State (–)
UMBC (–)
Southern Utah (–)
Siena (+1)

16 Seeds
James Madison (–)
Texas State (–)
Nicholls State (NEW)/Wagner (–)
Prairie View A&M (–)/North Carolina A&T (–)

Last 4 Byes
Rutgers
Virginia Tech
VCU
Syracuse

Last 4 In
Boise State
Xavier
SMU
Seton Hall

First 4 Out
Saint Louis
Duke
Memphis
Colorado State

Next 4 Out
Utah State
Drake
Michigan State
Ole Miss

Dropped Out
Memphis (12)
Sam Houston State (15 – Southland Auto-Bid)

Conference Tally
American – 3 bids
A10 – 2 bids
ACC – 8 bids
Big 10 – 8 bids
Big 12 – 7 bids
Big East – 5 bids
MVC – 1 bids
MWC – 2 bids
Pac 12 – 4 bids
SEC – 6 bids
WCC – 2 bids